SimpleFunctions

All teams in Group E collectively score at least 20 goals in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup

20+ goals is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will all teams in Group E collectively score at least.

Price history

20¢ current

+18¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the teams in Group E collectively record at least 20 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

20+ goals

Rank

#4 of 5

Leader

14+ goals 97¢

Range

5¢-97¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPE-20

Jun 23, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

24h volume

$763

Family rank

#4 of 5

5 outcomes · Will all teams in Group E collectively score at least

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 23¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
21¢553
20¢5.8K
19¢436
9¢1
6¢46
AskSize
23¢694
24¢386
33¢50
60¢71
62¢109

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the teams in Group E collectively record at least 20 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPE-20

SF Signal
SF Index
7189.73
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will all teams in Group E collectively score at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

14+ goals 97¢

Current share

65%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7189.7%

IY (No)

508.0%

Adj IY

7190%

CRI

4

RV

10153%

VR

2.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7189.7%
508.0%
Adj IY
7190%
4
RV
10153%
VR
2.08
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
1.5%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.