All teams in Group L collectively score at least 16 goals in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
16+ goals is priced at 86¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will all teams in Group L collectively score at least.
Price history
86¢ current
+85¢Contract brief
If the teams in Group L collectively record at least 16 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
16+ goals
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
12+ goals 94¢
Range
18¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-16
Jun 22, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
19¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will all teams in Group L collectively score at least
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the teams in Group L collectively record at least 16 goals during the group stage (including regulation and stoppage time) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-16
Event family
Will all teams in Group L collectively score at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
12+ goals 94¢
Current share
—
12+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-12
10+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-10
14+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-14
16+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-16
18+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-18
20+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-20
22+ goals
kalshi · KXWCTOTALGOAL-26GROUPL-22
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.