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Antigua And Barbuda Falcons · KXCPL-26

Antigua And Barbuda Falcons is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside KXCPL-26.

Price history

8¢ current

2¢
0¢10¢
Aug 2, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Antigua And Barbuda Falcons is the 2026 Caribbean Premier League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Antigua And Barbuda Falcons

Rank

#6 of 7

Leader

Trinbago Knight Riders 25¢

Range

7¢-25¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXCPL-26-ANT

Aug 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$103

Family rank

#6 of 7

7 outcomes · KXCPL-26

Closes

Oct 5, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 11¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢11
8¢1.8K
5¢200
4¢250
AskSize
11¢31
13¢200
14¢140
16¢61
25¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Antigua And Barbuda Falcons is the 2026 Caribbean Premier League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 5, 2026

Identifier

KXCPL-26-ANT

SF Signal
SF Index
3669.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7338.0%

IY (No)

55.5%

Adj IY

3669%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7338.0%
55.5%
Adj IY
3669%
12
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.