Will any hitter record 4+ home runs in a game?
This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXMLBSTAT-26HR4-AH
Market snapshot
4+ Home runs in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will any hitter record 4+ home runs in a game?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
4+ Home runs
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
25¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 3, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXMLBSTAT-26HR4-AH. Family volume: —.
Price history
25¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 25¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If any hitter records 4+ home runs in any game during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSTAT-26HR4-AH
Event family
KXMLBSTAT-26HR4.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
4+ Home runs 17¢
Current share
—
4+ Home runs
kalshi · KXMLBSTAT-26HR4-AH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 25% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.