Any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Rigetti
Rigetti Computing is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0%.
Price history
81¢ current
+68¢Contract brief
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Rigetti Computing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rigetti Computing
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Rigetti Computing 83¢
Range
7¢-83¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-RGTI
Jun 7, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$73
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0%
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Rigetti Computing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-RGTI
Event family
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0%.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Rigetti Computing 83¢
Current share
1%
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Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.