Arkansas broiler production for 2026 above 7.8 billion pounds
Above 7.8 billion pounds is priced at 84¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above.
Price history
84¢ current
+35¢Contract brief
If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 7.8 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 7.8 billion pounds
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Above 7.6 billion pounds 94¢
Range
5¢-94¢
Family volume
$51
Identifier
KXARBROILER-27APR30-T7.8
Sep 10, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Family volume
$51
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 7.8 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Identifier
KXARBROILER-27APR30-T7.8
Event family
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$51
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 7.6 billion pounds 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 7.6 billion pounds
kalshi · KXARBROILER-27APR30-T7.6
Above 7.8 billion pounds
kalshi · KXARBROILER-27APR30-T7.8
Above 8.0 billion pounds
kalshi · KXARBROILER-27APR30-T8.0
Above 8.2 billion pounds
kalshi · KXARBROILER-27APR30-T8.2
Above 8.4 billion pounds
kalshi · KXARBROILER-27APR30-T8.4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In
In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.