Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta · KXMLBNLEAST-26
Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXMLBNLEAST-26.
Price history
65¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If Atlanta is the 2026 Pro Baseball NL East Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta 66¢
Range
1¢-66¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXMLBNLEAST-26-ATL
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$153
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXMLBNLEAST-26
Closes
Nov 15, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Atlanta is the 2026 Pro Baseball NL East Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBNLEAST-26-ATL
Event family
KXMLBNLEAST-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta 66¢
Current share
1%
Will Atlanta be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Atlanta
kalshi · KXMLBNLEAST-26-ATL
Will Philadelphia be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Philadelphia
kalshi · KXMLBNLEAST-26-PHI
Will Miami be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Miami
kalshi · KXMLBNLEAST-26-MIA
Will Washington be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: Washington
kalshi · KXMLBNLEAST-26-WSH
Will New York M be the 2026 NL East Division Winner: New York M
kalshi · KXMLBNLEAST-26-NYM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 65% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.