SimpleFunctions

Above 29B · Will Bad Bunny have

Above 29B is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Will Bad Bunny have.

Price history

92¢ current

90¢95¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Bad Bunny has Above 29B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 29B

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Above 26.5B 95¢

Range

51¢-95¢

Family volume

$229

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BUNNY26DEC31-29.0B

Jun 25, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

92¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

95¢

Spread

24h volume

$107

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Bad Bunny have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$229

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 95¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
92¢500
91¢243
AskSize
95¢500
96¢500
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bad Bunny has Above 29B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BUNNY26DEC31-29.0B

SF Signal
SF Index
1100.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16.6%

IY (No)

2201.3%

Adj IY

1101%

CRI

12

Overround

16.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16.6%
2201.3%
Adj IY
1101%
12
Overround
16.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.