Bad Bunny · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Bad Bunny is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
44¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Bad Bunny releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bad Bunny
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Alex Warren 99¢
Range
4¢-99¢
Family volume
$865
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$26
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$865
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bad Bunny releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$865
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alex Warren 99¢
Current share
3%
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ALE
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ARI
Trippie Redd
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRI
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-NIC
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEY
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAB
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-2CH
Big Sean
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIG
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAY
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ANU
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-FRA
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEN
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Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.