SimpleFunctions

Baltimore · KXNFLTEAMPTS-MOST27

Baltimore is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNFLTEAMPTS-MOST27.

Price history

16¢ current

+13¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 31, 2026Sep 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the Baltimore Pro Football Team is the highest scoring team in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Baltimore

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Houston 82¢

Range

1¢-82¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNFLTEAMPTS-MOST27-BAL

Sep 15, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 15, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

16¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$967

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLTEAMPTS-MOST27

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 16¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
3¢230
2¢35
AskSize
16¢70
17¢60
24¢100
25¢500
27¢90

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Baltimore Pro Football Team is the highest scoring team in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLTEAMPTS-MOST27-BAL

SF Signal
SF Index
3496.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6993.2%

IY (No)

12.1%

Adj IY

3497%

CRI

24

Overround

0.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6993.2%
12.1%
Adj IY
3497%
24
Overround
0.5%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.