Baltimore win at least 2 games in the first 8 weeks
Baltimore: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
Price history
96¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the Baltimore Pro Football wins at least 2 games in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Baltimore: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Baltimore: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks 94¢
Range
2¢-94¢
Family volume
$400
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL2
Aug 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$40
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Family volume
$400
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Baltimore Pro Football wins at least 2 games in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL2
Event family
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$400
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Baltimore: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks 94¢
Current share
0%
Baltimore: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL1
Baltimore: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL2
New England: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-NE2
Atlanta: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL1
Los Angeles R: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LAR4
Atlanta: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL2
Arizona: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI1
Green Bay: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-GB5
Atlanta: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL3
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI2
Pittsburgh: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-PIT5
Atlanta: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL4
Detroit: 6+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-DET6
Arizona: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI3
Atlanta: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL5
Arizona: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.