Bayern Munich · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL
Bayern Munich is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside KXUCLROUND-27FINAL.
Price history
37¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Bayern Munich is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bayern Munich
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
Bayern Munich 28¢
Range
1¢-28¢
Family volume
$245
Identifier
KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-BMU
Sep 23, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$182
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL
Closes
May 20, 2027
Family volume
$245
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bayern Munich is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 20, 2027
Identifier
KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-BMU
Event family
KXUCLROUND-27FINAL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$245
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Bayern Munich 28¢
Current share
74%
Bayern Munich
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-BMU
Barcelona
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-BAR
Arsenal
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-ARS
PSG
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-PSG
Manchester City
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-MCI
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-RMA
Villarreal
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-VIL
Porto
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-FCP
Fenerbahce
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-FEN
Feyenoord
kalshi · KXUCLROUND-27FINAL-FEY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.