Will Baylor be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)
Will Baylor be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) is priced at 49¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
49¢ current
Contract brief
If Baylor is ranked top 25 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Baylor be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25-BAY
Sep 19, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
98¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Baylor is ranked top 25 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25-BAY
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Baylor be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026) 49¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.