Belgium · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G
Belgium is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G.
Price history
95¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Belgium is one of the teams to qualify from Group G for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Belgium
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Belgium 94¢
Range
26¢-94¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G-BEL
Jun 21, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$760
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Belgium is one of the teams to qualify from Group G for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G-BEL
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Belgium 94¢
Current share
13%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.