SimpleFunctions

Bhayshul Tuten · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10

Bhayshul Tuten is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10.

Price history

25¢ current

10¢20¢
Aug 28, 2026Sep 17, 2026

Contract brief

If Bhayshul Tuten records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bhayshul Tuten

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Jahmyr Gibbs 81¢

Range

1¢-81¢

Family volume

$533

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BTUTEN33

Sep 21, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

98¢

Reported volume

$364

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$533

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 98¢

Kalshi
98¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bhayshul Tuten records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BTUTEN33

SF Signal
SF Index
407.65
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

815.3%

IY (No)

90.6%

Adj IY

408%

CRI

3

Overround

10.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

815.3%
90.6%
Adj IY
408%
3
Overround
10.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.