SimpleFunctions

Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Boston · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08

Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Boston is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26AUG08.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Boston is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Boston

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Choosin' Texas 73¢

Range

1¢-73¢

Family volume

$44K

Identifier

KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BOS

Jul 28, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Family volume

$44K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢900
5¢538
7¢204
22¢2.0K
100¢4.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Boston is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BOS

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXTOPSONG-26AUG08.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$44K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Choosin' Texas 73¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Choosin' Texas

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-CHO

73¢
$32K$32K0.0

Will Been By Now be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Been By Now

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BEE

3¢
$77$66

Will BE HER be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: BE HER

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BEH

2¢
$492$492

Will hate that i made you love me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: hate that i made you love me

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-HAT

1¢
$4K$4K

Will BE BY YOU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: BE BY YOU

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BEB

1¢
$3K$3K

Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: stupid song

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-STU

1¢
$2K$2K

Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-IKN

1¢
$1K$1K

Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Boston

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-BOS

1¢
$1K$1K

Will Midnight Sun be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Midnight Sun

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-MID

1¢
$468$468

Will Dead Fresh be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Dead Fresh

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-DEA

1¢
$92$92

Will Animal be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Animal

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-ANI

1¢
$66$66

Will Dai Dai be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Dai Dai

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-DAI

1¢
$66$66

Will Don't We be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: Don't We

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-DON

1¢
$0$0

Will EARRINGS be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: EARRINGS

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-EAR

1¢
$0$0

Will I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-ICA

1¢
$0$0

Will I Just Might be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 8, 2026: I Just Might

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-IJU

1¢
$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.