Brigitte Macron to win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
58¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Delaware Superior Court sides with Brigitte Macron in Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Aug 10, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
58¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$22
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 58¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Delaware Superior Court sides with Brigitte Macron in Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) 58¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.