SimpleFunctions

BYU · KXNCAAFSF-27

BYU is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXNCAAFSF-27.

Price history

9¢ current

+8¢
0¢10¢
Aug 12, 2026Aug 20, 2026

Contract brief

If BYU qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

BYU

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 39¢

Range

1¢-39¢

Family volume

$564

Identifier

KXNCAAFSF-27-BYU

Aug 22, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 22, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

Ask

15¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$186

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFSF-27

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$564

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 15¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
5¢5
2¢667
AskSize
15¢166
16¢166
17¢168
19¢500
20¢439

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BYU qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFSF-27-BYU

SF Signal
SF Index
2050.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4101.2%

IY (No)

11.4%

Adj IY

2051%

CRI

19

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4101.2%
11.4%
Adj IY
2051%
19
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.