Caleb Durbin · KXMLBNLHAARON-26
Caleb Durbin is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXMLBNLHAARON-26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Caleb Durbin wins the Pro Baseball National League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Caleb Durbin
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$50
Identifier
KXMLBNLHAARON-26-CDUR
May 29, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$5
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBNLHAARON-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$50
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Caleb Durbin wins the Pro Baseball National League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBNLHAARON-26-CDUR
Event family
KXMLBNLHAARON-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$50
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 16¢
Current share
0%
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-SOHT
Fernando Tatis Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-FTAT
Will Jordan Walker win NL Hank Aaron Award: Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-JWAL
Will Drake Baldwin win NL Hank Aaron Award: Drake Baldwin
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-DBAL
Elly De La Cruz
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-ECRU
Caleb Durbin
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-CDUR
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-ABRE
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-BHAR
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-BTUR
Corbin Carroll
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-CCAR
Christian Yelich
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-CYEL
Dansby Swanson
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-DSWA
Freddie Freeman
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-FFRE
Francisco Lindor
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-FLIN
Geraldo Perdomo
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-GPER
Hunter Goodman
kalshi · KXMLBNLHAARON-26-HGOO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.