SimpleFunctions

Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above 2.5% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in Q2 2026

Above 2.5% is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 13 inside Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above.

Price history

2¢ current

11¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 13, 2026Jul 16, 2026

Contract brief

If Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited reports Above 2.5% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.5%

Rank

#6 of 13

Leader

Above -1% 40¢

Range

1¢-40¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXCTCQ-26AUGCOMP-2.5

Jul 23, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$565

Family rank

#6 of 13

13 outcomes · Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above

Closes

Dec 4, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
2¢457
AskSize
3¢40
4¢300
97¢5.0K
98¢44
99¢65

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited reports Above 2.5% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 4, 2026

Identifier

KXCTCQ-26AUGCOMP-2.5

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.