SimpleFunctions

Carla Leite · KXWNBAALLSTARS-26

Carla Leite is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 56¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXWNBAALLSTARS-26.

Price history

5¢ current

44¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Carla Leite is selected as a Women's Pro Basketball All-Star in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Carla Leite

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Angel Reese 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$216

Identifier

KXWNBAALLSTARS-26-CLEITE0

Jun 23, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

Ask

61¢

Spread

56¢

Reported volume

$9

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXWNBAALLSTARS-26

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Family volume

$216

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 61¢

Kalshi
56¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
5¢200
AskSize
61¢5
62¢30
98¢219
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Carla Leite is selected as a Women's Pro Basketball All-Star in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBAALLSTARS-26-CLEITE0

SF Signal
SF Index
14862.52
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14862.5%

IY (No)

41.2%

Adj IY

14863%

CRI

19

RV

56689%

VR

32.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14862.5%
41.2%
Adj IY
14863%
19
RV
56689%
VR
32.16
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
14.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.