Carolina · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR
Carolina is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR.
Price history
44¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Carolina wins the Chicago vs Carolina professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Carolina
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Chicago 54¢
Range
40¢-54¢
Family volume
$63
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR
May 24, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$123
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$63
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Carolina wins the Chicago vs Carolina professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR
Event family
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$63
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Chicago 54¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 44% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.