Chase Elliott · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Chase Elliott is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
46¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chase Elliott
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Ryan Blaney 52¢
Range
13¢-52¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Jul 10, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$61
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Event family
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ryan Blaney 52¢
Current share
4%
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RYBL
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYRE
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DEHA
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHBE
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CAHO
Chase Briscoe
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHBR
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DASU
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYGI
Ryan Preece
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RYPR
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ZASM
Ricky Stenhouse
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIST
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ERJO
Austin Hill
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AUHI
Riley Herbst
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIHE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 46% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.