Chase Elliott · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26
Chase Elliott is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26.
Price history
29¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chase Elliott
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Shane Van Gisbergen 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$331
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHEL
Jun 25, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
25¢
24h volume
$16
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$331
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chase Elliott finishes in the top 3 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Toyota / Save Mart 350, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHEL
Event family
KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$331
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shane Van Gisbergen 68¢
Current share
5%
Shane Van Gisbergen
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-SHVA
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-TYRE
Connor Zilisch
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-COZI
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CAHO
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-BUWA
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-DEHA
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHEL
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-KYLA
AJ Allmendinger
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-AJAL
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHBE
Chase Briscoe
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHBR
Chris Buescher
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-CHBU
Michael McDowell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-MIMC
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-RYBL
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-TYGI
William Byron
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP3-TOYSM26-WIBY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.