Above 500M · Will Chris Lake have
Above 500M is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will Chris Lake have.
Price history
14¢ current
Contract brief
If Chris Lake has Above 500M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 500M
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Above 225M 99¢
Range
2¢-99¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-500.0M
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$75
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Chris Lake have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chris Lake has Above 500M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-500.0M
Event family
Will Chris Lake have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 225M 99¢
Current share
—
Above 225M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-225.0M
Above 200M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-200.0M
Above 300M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-300.0M
Above 250M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-250.0M
Above 275M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-275.0M
Above 325M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-325.0M
Above 350M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-350.0M
Above 375M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-375.0M
Above 400M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-400.0M
Above 425M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-425.0M
Above 450M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-450.0M
Above 475M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-475.0M
Above 500M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-500.0M
Above 525M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-525.0M
Above 550.0M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-550.0M
Above 575.0M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-CHRISL26DEC31-575.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.