Chris Sale · KXMLBNLCY-26
Chris Sale is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXMLBNLCY-26.
Price history
3¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Chris Sale wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chris Sale
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Jacob Misiorowski 61¢
Range
1¢-61¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXMLBNLCY-26-CSAL
Jun 26, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBNLCY-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chris Sale wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBNLCY-26-CSAL
Event family
KXMLBNLCY-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jacob Misiorowski 61¢
Current share
5%
Jacob Misiorowski
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-JMIS
Cristopher Sanchez
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-CSAN
Paul Skenes
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-PSKE
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-SOHT
Zack Wheeler
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-ZWHE
Chase Burns
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-CBUR
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-YYAM
Chris Sale
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-CSAL
Mason Miller
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-MMIL
Andrew Abbott
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-AABB
Aaron Nola
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-ANOL
Bubba Chandler
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-BCHA
Will Bryce Elder win NL Cy Young: Bryce Elder
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-BELDE
Brady Singer
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-BSIN
Blake Snell
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-BSNE
Brandon Woodruff
kalshi · KXMLBNLCY-26-BWOO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.