SimpleFunctions

Will Christian McCaffrey record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Will Christian McCaffrey record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

65¢ current

+64¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Christian McCaffrey records 750+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Christian McCaffrey record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Rank

Standalone

Leader

—

Range

—

Family volume

$346

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750-CMCCAFFREY23

Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15h ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15h ago

Bid

2¢

Ask

84¢

Spread

82¢

Reported volume

$346

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$346

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 84¢

Kalshi
82¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
2¢5
AskSize
84¢5
85¢300
97¢46
98¢857
99¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Christian McCaffrey records 750+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750-CMCCAFFREY23

SF Signal
SF Index
5179.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$346

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Christian McCaffrey record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season 65¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10358.6%

IY (No)

9.9%

Adj IY

5179%

CRI

32

Overround

10.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10358.6%
9.9%
Adj IY
5179%
32
Overround
10.5%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.