Cindy Holscher · KXGOVKSNOMD-26
Cindy Holscher is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXGOVKSNOMD-26.
Price history
50¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Cindy Holscher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Kansas Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cindy Holscher
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Ethan Corson 52¢
Range
44¢-52¢
Family volume
$774
Identifier
KXGOVKSNOMD-26-CH
Jun 22, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$297
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXGOVKSNOMD-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$774
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cindy Holscher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Kansas Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXGOVKSNOMD-26-CH
Event family
KXGOVKSNOMD-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$774
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Ethan Corson 52¢
Current share
38%
Ethan Corson
kalshi · KXGOVKSNOMD-26-EC
Cindy Holscher
kalshi · KXGOVKSNOMD-26-CH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.