Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$237
Best sibling
ChatGPT 7¢
Ticker
KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU
Market snapshot
Claude in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $115. In the KXMODELHIGH-27-1550 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Claude
Family rank
#1 of 8
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
37¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
24h volume
$115
Family context
8 outcomes · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550
Quote range
1¢-35¢
Family leader
Claude 35¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU. Family volume: $237.
Price history
37¢ current
−10¢Orderbook snapshot
35 / 36¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU
Event family
KXMODELHIGH-27-1550.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$237
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Claude 35¢
Current share
48%
Claude
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU
ChatGPT
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CHAT
Gemini
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GEMI
Qwen
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-QWEN
Grok
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GROK
Kimi
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-KIMI
Ernie
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-ERNI
Other
kalshi · KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-OTHE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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