SimpleFunctions

Connor Hellebuyck · KXESPYS-26BCP

Connor Hellebuyck is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BCP.

Price history

10¢ current

+8¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 30, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Connor Hellebuyck wins Best Championship Performance at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Connor Hellebuyck

Rank

#2 of 5

Leader

Jalen Brunson 81¢

Range

1¢-81¢

Family volume

$807

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BCP-CON

Jul 12, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

24h volume

$283

Family rank

#2 of 5

5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BCP

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Family volume

$807

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 16¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
12¢22
10¢32
9¢111
8¢300
4¢550
AskSize
16¢22
22¢4
23¢25
28¢172
30¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Connor Hellebuyck wins Best Championship Performance at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BCP-CON

SF Signal
SF Index
362.66
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXESPYS-26BCP.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$807

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Jalen Brunson 81¢

Current share

35%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

725.3%
13.5%
Adj IY
363%
7

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.