Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
Above 334.800 is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 33.
Price history
66¢ current
+27¢Contract brief
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is above 334.800, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 334.800
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Above 334.300 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.800
Aug 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 58m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$620
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 33
Closes
Sep 11, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is above 334.800, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 11, 2026
Identifier
KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.800
Event family
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 33.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 334.300 98¢
Current share
16%
Above 334.300
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.300
Above 334.400
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.400
Above 334.450
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.450
Above 334.500
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.500
Above 334.600
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.600
Above 334.700
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.700
Above 334.800
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.800
Above 334.750
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.750
Above 334.850
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.850
Above 334.900
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T334.900
Above 335.100
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.100
Above 335.050
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.050
Above 335.300
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.300
Above 335.150
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.150
Above 335.500
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.500
Above 335.450
kalshi · KXCPINDEX-26SEP11-T335.450
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.