Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: DANDELION · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04
Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: DANDELION is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 90¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04.
Price history
22¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If DANDELION is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: DANDELION
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Will ICEMAN be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: ICEMAN 6¢
Range
3¢-6¢
Family volume
$320
Identifier
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04-DAN
Jun 21, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
90¢
24h volume
$220
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$320
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If DANDELION is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04-DAN
Event family
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPALBUM-26JUL04.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$320
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will ICEMAN be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: ICEMAN 6¢
Current share
69%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.