Dani Olmo · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP
Dani Olmo is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 12 inside KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP.
Price history
14¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Dani Olmo scores the most goals for Spain during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dani Olmo
Rank
#2 of 12
Leader
Mikel Oyarzabal 40¢
Range
2¢-40¢
Family volume
$69
Identifier
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-DOLMO20
Jun 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$416
Family rank
#2 of 12
12 outcomes · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$69
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dani Olmo scores the most goals for Spain during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-DOLMO20
Event family
KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$69
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Mikel Oyarzabal 40¢
Current share
0%
Mikel Oyarzabal
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-MOYARZ10
Dani Olmo
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-DOLMO20
Fabian Ruiz
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-FRUIZ8
Gavi
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-GAVI6
Mikel Merino
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-MMERIN23
Alex Grimaldo
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-AGRIMA20
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-PEDR8
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-PCUBAR5
No Goalscorer
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-NONE
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-LYAMAL10
Ferran Torres
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-FTORRE7
Nico Williams
kalshi · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26ESP-NWILLI10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.