David Puig · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26
David Puig is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If David Puig wins the DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
David Puig
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Joaquin Niemann 9¢
Range
1¢-9¢
Family volume
$210K
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-DPUI
Jun 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$210K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If David Puig wins the DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-DPUI
Event family
KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$210K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Joaquin Niemann 9¢
Current share
2%
Joaquin Niemann
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-JNIE
Patrick Reed
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-PREE
David Puig
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-DPUI
Branden Grace
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-BGRA
Bernd Wiesberger
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-BWIE
Angel Ayora Fanegas
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-AAYO
Mikael Lindberg
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-MLIN
Jorge Campillo
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-JCAM
Gregorio De Leo
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-GDEL
Matt Wallace
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-MWAL
Francesco Molinari
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-FMOL
Guido Migliozzi
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-GMIG
Kota Kaneko
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-KKAN
Martin Couvra
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-MCOU
Kazuma Kobori
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-KKOB
Calum Hill
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOUR-DSA8OD26-CHIL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.