Declan Rice · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL
Declan Rice is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXWCAWARD-26SBALL.
Price history
19¢ current
Contract brief
If Declan Rice wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Declan Rice
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Kylian Mbappe 20¢
Range
1¢-20¢
Family volume
$792
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-DRICE
Jun 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$133
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$792
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Declan Rice wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-DRICE
Event family
KXWCAWARD-26SBALL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$792
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kylian Mbappe 20¢
Current share
0%
Kylian Mbappe
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-KMBAP
Declan Rice
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-DRICE
Vinicius Junior
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-VJUNI
Bruno Fernandes
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-BFERN
Lionel Messi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-LMESS
Erling Haaland
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-EHAAL
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-PEDRI
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-CRONA
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-LYAMA
Achraf Hakimi
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-AHAKI
Alexander Isak
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-AISAK
Antony
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-ANTON
Bukayo Saka
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-BSAKA
Bernardo Silva
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-BSILV
Cole Palmer
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-CPALM
Desire Doue
kalshi · KXWCAWARD-26SBALL-DDOUE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.