Christina Hines · HOUSEMI10-26
Christina Hines is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside HOUSEMI10-26.
Price history
65¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the House member sworn in for MI-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Christina Hines
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Christina Hines 65¢
Range
34¢-65¢
Family volume
$170
Identifier
HOUSEMI10-26-D
Sep 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
65¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$155
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · HOUSEMI10-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$170
Orderbook snapshot
65 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the House member sworn in for MI-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
HOUSEMI10-26-D
Event family
HOUSEMI10-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$170
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Christina Hines 65¢
Current share
91%
Christina Hines
kalshi · HOUSEMI10-26-D
Michael Bouchard Jr.
kalshi · HOUSEMI10-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.