Susie Lee · HOUSENV3-26
Susie Lee is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside HOUSENV3-26.
Price history
87¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the House member sworn in for NV-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Susie Lee
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Susie Lee 87¢
Range
10¢-87¢
Family volume
$200
Identifier
HOUSENV3-26-D
Jul 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
87¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · HOUSENV3-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$200
Orderbook snapshot
87 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the House member sworn in for NV-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
HOUSENV3-26-D
Event family
HOUSENV3-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$200
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Susie Lee 87¢
Current share
100%
Susie Lee
kalshi · HOUSENV3-26-D
Martin O'Donnell
kalshi · HOUSENV3-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 87% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.