SimpleFunctions

Annie Andrews · SENATESC-26

Annie Andrews is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside SENATESC-26.

Price history

13¢ current

2¢
10¢20¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Annie Andrews

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Lindsey Graham 86¢

Range

10¢-86¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

SENATESC-26-D

Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · SENATESC-26

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 12¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
10¢16
9¢2
9¢756
8¢3.8K
8¢50
AskSize
12¢18
13¢751
14¢9
15¢2.5K
16¢291

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

SENATESC-26-D

SF Signal
SF Index
197.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

SENATESC-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Lindsey Graham 86¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.442

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

659.8%
8.1%
Adj IY
198%
9
14.000
LAS
0.40

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.