SimpleFunctions

Denzel Boston · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Denzel Boston is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750.

Price history

73¢ current

+37¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 6, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Denzel Boston records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Denzel Boston

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Jaylen Waddle 66¢

Range

3¢-66¢

Family volume

$367

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-DBOSTONWR

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

73¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$367

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 33¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
23¢5
22¢5
20¢125
10¢125
6¢53
AskSize
33¢500
34¢450
49¢90
72¢1.1K
73¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Denzel Boston records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-DBOSTONWR

SF Signal
SF Index
382.92
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

765.8%

IY (No)

68.3%

Adj IY

383%

CRI

3

Overround

17.6%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

765.8%
68.3%
Adj IY
383%
3
Overround
17.6%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Technicalguide

How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis

Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.