SimpleFunctions

DK Metcalf · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1000

DK Metcalf is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1000.

Price history

29¢ current

+2¢
20¢30¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If DK Metcalf records 1000+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

DK Metcalf

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Justin Jefferson 72¢

Range

16¢-72¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1000-DMETCALF4

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$604

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1000

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 31¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
17¢20
16¢375
4¢100
3¢49
2¢680
AskSize
31¢250
32¢500
35¢483
46¢90
48¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DK Metcalf records 1000+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1000-DMETCALF4

SF Signal
SF Index
558.44
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1116.9%

IY (No)

46.9%

Adj IY

558%

CRI

5

Overround

14.6%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1116.9%
46.9%
Adj IY
558%
5
Overround
14.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.