DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices
Yes is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
14¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If the U.S. Department of Justice's filing of a civil antitrust complaint against any listed grocery retailer in its beef-affordability investigation is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXDOJBEEFACTION-27JAN01
Sep 6, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the U.S. Department of Justice's filing of a civil antitrust complaint against any listed grocery retailer in its beef-affordability investigation is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXDOJBEEFACTION-27JAN01
Event family
KXDOJBEEFACTION-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 13¢
Current share
100%
Yes
kalshi · KXDOJBEEFACTION-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.