Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) before
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 34¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) before.
Price history
53¢ current
Contract brief
If Donald Trump has made any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 66¢
Range
15¢-66¢
Family volume
$899
Identifier
KXPRESSSECANNOUNCE-26AUG-JAN01
Oct 8, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 9h ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
34¢
24h volume
$306
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$899
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump has made any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXPRESSSECANNOUNCE-26AUG-JAN01
Event family
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$899
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 66¢
Current share
33%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.