SimpleFunctions

Don’t Look Down by Rod Wave have above 1000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 28, 2026 - September 03, 2026 tracking week

Above 1K is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will Don’t Look Down by Rod Wave have above.

Price history

97¢ current

+4¢
90¢95¢100¢
Jun 23, 2026Jul 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Don’t Look Down by Rod Wave has above 1K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 28, 2026 - September 03, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 1K

Rank

#1 of 10

Leader

Above 1K 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$370

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-DON26SEP03-1K

Jul 23, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$35

Family rank

#1 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Don’t Look Down by Rod Wave have above

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Family volume

$370

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 97¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
94¢100
60¢5
AskSize
97¢90
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Don’t Look Down by Rod Wave has above 1K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 28, 2026 - September 03, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-DON26SEP03-1K

SF Signal
SF Index
6342.85
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

51.7%

IY (No)

12685.7%

Adj IY

6343%

CRI

16

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

51.7%
12685.7%
Adj IY
6343%
16
Overround
3.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.