SimpleFunctions

Drake have above 18M daily views at any point during August 10, 2026 - August 16, 2026

Above 18M is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will Drake have above.

Price history

1¢ current

14¢
0¢10¢
Aug 11, 2026Aug 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Drake has above 18M Global daily views on YouTube at any point during August 10, 2026 - August 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 18M

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Above 11.5M 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$59K

Identifier

KXYTVIEWSW-DRA26AUG16-18.0M

Aug 13, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 13, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$11K

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Drake have above

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Family volume

$59K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
12¢1.0K
25¢12
30¢15
35¢15
100¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Drake has above 18M Global daily views on YouTube at any point during August 10, 2026 - August 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

KXYTVIEWSW-DRA26AUG16-18.0M

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.