SimpleFunctions

MetLife Stadium · Will Drake perform at

MetLife Stadium is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside Will Drake perform at.

Price history

20¢ current

+2¢
10¢20¢
May 27, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Drake performs at MetLife Stadium in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

MetLife Stadium

Rank

#4 of 10

Leader

Scotiabank Arena 44¢

Range

6¢-44¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEDRAKE-27JAN01-MET

Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#4 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Drake perform at

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 20¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢350
13¢4
12¢201
2¢256
AskSize
20¢200
95¢2.3K
96¢58
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Drake performs at MetLife Stadium in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEDRAKE-27JAN01-MET

SF Signal
SF Index
287.25
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1244.9%

IY (No)

27.8%

Adj IY

287%

CRI

7

Overround

0.7%

LAS

0.54

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1244.9%
27.8%
Adj IY
287%
7
Overround
0.7%
LAS
0.54

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.