SimpleFunctions

Dyson Daniels · KXNBADPOY-27

Dyson Daniels is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNBADPOY-27.

Price history

2¢ current

−1¢
0¢5¢
Aug 11, 2026Aug 30, 2026

Contract brief

If Dyson Daniels wins Pro Basketball Defensive Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dyson Daniels

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Victor Wembanyama 66¢

Range

1¢-66¢

Family volume

$2

Identifier

KXNBADPOY-27-DDANIELS5

Sep 6, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 6, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

2¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$304

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADPOY-27

Closes

Jun 30, 2028

Family volume

$2

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 17¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
100¢884
2¢78
AskSize
17¢5
18¢5
25¢1
26¢313
28¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dyson Daniels wins Pro Basketball Defensive Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2028

Identifier

KXNBADPOY-27-DDANIELS5

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.