Ecuador · KXWC-30
Ecuador is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXWC-30.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Ecuador is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ecuador
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Spain 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXWC-30-ECU
Jul 25, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$506
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWC-30
Closes
Jan 15, 2031
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ecuador is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 15, 2031
Identifier
KXWC-30-ECU
Event family
KXWC-30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Spain 16¢
Current share
0%
Spain
kalshi · KXWC-30-ESP
France
kalshi · KXWC-30-FRA
Argentina
kalshi · KXWC-30-ARG
England
kalshi · KXWC-30-ENG
Brazil
kalshi · KXWC-30-BRA
Germany
kalshi · KXWC-30-GER
Portugal
kalshi · KXWC-30-POR
Italy
kalshi · KXWC-30-ITA
Norway
kalshi · KXWC-30-NOR
Morocco
kalshi · KXWC-30-MAR
USA
kalshi · KXWC-30-USA
Mexico
kalshi · KXWC-30-MEX
Netherlands
kalshi · KXWC-30-NED
Japan
kalshi · KXWC-30-JPN
Uruguay
kalshi · KXWC-30-URU
Ecuador
kalshi · KXWC-30-ECU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.