SimpleFunctions

Edson Barboza · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB

Edson Barboza is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB.

Price history

23¢ current

20¢25¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Edson Barboza wins the Barboza vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Edson Barboza

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Esteban Ribovics 78¢

Range

21¢-78¢

Family volume

$621

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB-BAR

Aug 7, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

24h volume

$329

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB

Closes

Aug 30, 2026

Family volume

$621

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 23¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
21¢1.5K
20¢476
19¢4.0K
18¢3.7K
17¢23
AskSize
23¢3.8K
24¢1.2K
25¢1.6K
26¢5.7K
27¢503

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Edson Barboza wins the Barboza vs Ribovics professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 30, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB-BAR

SF Signal
SF Index
2923.10
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15BARRIB.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$621

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Esteban Ribovics 78¢

Current share

53%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6138.4%
433.7%
Adj IY
2923%
4
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.