Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout · Will either team advance
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will either team advance.
Price history
18¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If either team advances in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Semifinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 via victory in Penalty Shootout, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Either team to advance in Regulation Time 69¢
Range
15¢-69¢
Family volume
$35K
Identifier
KXWCMOF-26JUL14FRAESP-PEN
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will either team advance
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$35K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If either team advances in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Semifinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 via victory in Penalty Shootout, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCMOF-26JUL14FRAESP-PEN
Event family
Will either team advance.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$35K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Either team to advance in Regulation Time 69¢
Current share
17%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.