Elena Rybakina · KXWTA-26USO
Elena Rybakina is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXWTA-26USO.
Price history
17¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 US Open Women's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Elena Rybakina
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Aryna Sabalenka 23¢
Range
1¢-23¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXWTA-26USO-RYB
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWTA-26USO
Closes
Sep 27, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 US Open Women's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWTA-26USO-RYB
Event family
KXWTA-26USO.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Aryna Sabalenka 23¢
Current share
0%
Aryna Sabalenka
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-SAB
Iga Swiatek
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-SWI
Elena Rybakina
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-RYB
Naomi Osaka
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-OSA
Karolina Muchova
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-MUC
Mirra Andreeva
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-AND
Coco Gauff
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-GAU
Amanda Anisimova
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-ANI
Jessica Pegula
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-PEG
Madison Keys
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-KEY
Iva Jovic
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-JOV
Elina Svitolina
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-SVI
Qinwen Zheng
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-ZHE
Jasmine Paolini
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-PAO
Emma Navarro
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-NAV
Barbora Krejcikova
kalshi · KXWTA-26USO-KRE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.